With
pitchers and catchers reporting exactly one month from today, it’s time to have
a look back at the 2015 offseason so far, and a look ahead what deals are still
to come.
Because of
all that was going on in the NFL over the weekend, it probably blew by most New
Englanders that Max Scherzer signed with the Washington Nationals, agreeing to
a seven-year deal on Sunday night. Scherzer will reportedly make $15 million
annually for the next 14 years, even though he will only pitch for seven of
those years. That adds up to $210 million over the next 14 years. This is a
huge move for not only the Nationals, but also multiple other teams across the
league, including the Boston Red Sox.
The Nats
rotation already featured ace Stephen Strasburg, and the signing of Scherzer
means that Strasburg is now on the trading block. Stephen Strasburg could be
the ace that the Red Sox need, and, at this point, is the best option that the
Red Sox have. He finished last year at 14-11, with a 3.14 Earned Run Average.
Though
bringing Strasburg to Boston sounds very enticing, there’s something about it
that signals a red flag for me. Fox Sports released a report citing multiple
sources saying that the Nats have been looking into trading Strasburg all
offseason, and there’s a few reasons as to why they might want to do that. For
one, they may want to trade for more offense, which makes plenty of sense. But
the second reason is that they may have been looking to get rid of, and then
replace Strasburg, and there’s only one reason why they would want to do that.
He’s hurt. Strasburg had Tommy John Surgery in 2010, and had a rough road to
recovery following that. Last year, Strasburg allowed more earned runs than
ever before in his career, and I fear that he is injured and that is the
reasoning for the Nats’ moves. If my conspiracy theory is correct, then what
the Nationals are doing makes perfect sense. Scherzer will virtually replace
Strasburg in the rotation if he is traded, and
the Nats will receive a player of significant value for Strasburg.
Now that
Scherzer is off of the table, all of the teams who are in desperate,
last-minute need of a pitcher can now turn their attention to James Shields.
Because of his age and ability, he isn’t going to make anything close to what
Scherzer signed for, but he is still a very good pitcher who is capable of
leading several rotations. As much as I’d like to see the Sox go after Shields,
it is highly unlikely that the team will be willing to pony up the money to
sign him. Fox Sports’ Ken Rosenthal reports that MLB executives are expecting
Shields to sign somewhere in the range of $75 million over four years. At this
point the Sox are more likely to make a big trade for someone like Cole Hammels
of the Philadelphia Phillies to beef up the rotation, than to throw money like
that at a free agent.
The team
who I think is most likely to land Shields is the Toronto Blue Jays. The Jays
feature an aging rotation, with knuckleballer R.A. Dickey at the front of it,
and they are in desperate need of pitching help. Granted Shields isn’t the
ideal age for your top-of-the-line starter, but he would definitely make that
rotation a lot better.
***
On a local
note, the Vermont Mountaineers are getting set for their annual Hot Stove
Banquet, which is this Saturday night at the Capitol Plaza Hotel in Montpelier.
This year’s banquet will feature a meet and greet with Red Sox legend Bernie
Carbo. The team will also be honoring several volunteers who have made a
difference to the organization over its 11 years.
Though snow
is coming out of the sky on a daily basis right now, there is warm weather to
come and believe it or not, opening day is less than three months away. I look
forward to what promises to be an exciting baseball season, locally and
nationally.